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Old 03-14-2007, 02:36 PM   #1
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So what happens when all world markets fall?



The Asian and European markets are crashing, and the US market is back below 12k.

Is it better that all markets crash at the same time, or just one at a time? If they all go at the same time, does that mean everything is still nicely balanced out?
 
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Old 03-14-2007, 02:48 PM   #2
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Well, over here the falls (I wouldn't say "crash" yet, not enough panic!) are blamed on worry over New Century Financial going bankrupt, all it really proves to me when all fall together is that the global economy is well... global.

Is it good or is it bad? Hmm, well I don't know all that much about macroeconomy stuff but my gut feeling is that it's better that the economies of the world are connected than everyone hiding in their own little corner protecting their industries no matter the cost.
 
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Old 03-14-2007, 02:58 PM   #3
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This is an issue when dealing with a global economy...there's not much we can do right now.
 
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Old 03-14-2007, 03:51 PM   #4
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Asia and Euro markets crashed? Being a bit dramatic aren't we? I read that Asia was down 2.8% and Euro markets down 3.1% primarily in response to the US drop yesterday of about 2%.
 
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Old 03-14-2007, 07:30 PM   #5
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If the crash in Asia reflects a poor economy the bad news for our market in the long run is that the purchase of U.S. exports will drop. It won't criple our market, but it is a negative.
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Old 03-16-2007, 08:35 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by ballz2wallz View Post
Is it better that all markets crash at the same time, or just one at a time?
does that happen?

if one goes down does that have some similar effect on the others?

isnt this interconnectedness a good thing?

or does the exposure of all to some localised weakness/event/idiocy mean that we are 'less' safe?
 
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Old 03-16-2007, 08:39 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by avsp View Post
does that happen?

if one goes down does that have some similar effect on the others?

isnt this interconnectedness a good thing?

or does the exposure of all to some localised weakness/event/idiocy mean that we are 'less' safe?


That's what I'm curious about...all of the theories.
 
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Old 03-16-2007, 10:01 AM   #8
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Interconnectedness is overall a good thing. However, it can mean that stocks of one country can suffer temporary undue losses if another major player also suffers losses.

Markets are driven by emotion and if someone thinks that Europe is going to significantly cut back on consumption and/or production it can have a worldwide affect.
 
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Old 03-16-2007, 12:04 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by ballz2wallz View Post


That's what I'm curious about...all of the theories.

The issue really depends upon is it fundamentally based or emotional?

If it truly is fundamentals...then it could have an impact...


However the mental stigma right now is surrounding the old axioms of 100 point or 200 or 300 point drops...which are dramatically less impact than they used to be...the market is at 12,000+

when the market was at 6,000 you know 10 years ago...

these old axioms do not adjust as fast as the market has grown...
 
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Old 03-16-2007, 02:47 PM   #10
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Originally Posted by MTdream View Post
The issue really depends upon is it fundamentally based or emotional?

If it truly is fundamentals...then it could have an impact...


However the mental stigma right now is surrounding the old axioms of 100 point or 200 or 300 point drops...which are dramatically less impact than they used to be...the market is at 12,000+

when the market was at 6,000 you know 10 years ago...

these old axioms do not adjust as fast as the market has grown...
Correct, in 1950 a 40 point drop was catastrophic...today its nothing.
 
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