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Old 10-08-2006, 05:30 PM   #21
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Originally Posted by mididoctors View Post
perhaps its time to realize it was a REALLY REALLY REALLY BAD BAD BAD BAD idea, AWFULLY planned and doesn't have a easy option of just "going"

thats how appallingly reckless the whole endeavor is/was... once you invade other countries and lose on all levels including morally(perception) the rout that follows leads all the way to your front door... what advantage is there is basing your security on some arrangement with the US if it can not committ to the most vital region on earth

where exactly do we retreat and go too?

back to saudi arabia?

kuwait?

... relie on NATO to somehow bolster everything up from a kurdish enclave, i think not?... what exactly happens after the US goes...?

its not just what happens in Iraq..

perhaps a global perception of a US defeat would not be such a bad thing and going is the best option?

Boris
london
I was watching this special on CNN on Donald Rumsfield. About how he was in Government, and apparently good at what he did, and then he went and over took a corporation, and then after that, he was asked by Dubya to come back to work for him. He came back into government with this attitude about the Military that he was going to run it like a corporation. That he was going to reduce the spending, to make it more technical...and so on. I think in his thinking, the problem is that he looked at Iraq with the eyes of a CEO and not the eyes of a Defense Secretary, and Defense, really is the operative word of his title. He's supposed to run the Defending of the nation, not instigate wars with other nations.

Thanks to him, America WAS a superpower. Now, we are wearing Egg because of what we got ourselves into. In a situation like that, sometimes all you can do it close the curtain, and wipe the egg and hope no one throws a tomato.
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:38 PM   #22
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Originally Posted by mididoctors View Post
I suppose I am suggesting there are no easy solutions...running away has a host of problems... that is not to say you do not do it just that the "price" needs to be assessed

this is the real problem.... any questions about the ramifications of Iraq are usually simplified into a US centric view point and/or as proof of some red on blue argument.

does it matter if the US population doesn't think the US was defeated as much as others outside the US do?

there is a very very very very wide ramification of a US withdrawal

I think it is helpful not to view the question of "what happens" as some sort of support for the war (which it isn't) but more helpfully as "what happens"

its no good saying Iraq nation building SHOULD be a multilateral global effort if the conditions do not exist...

I totally agree there SHOULD be a global effort in Iraq OR conversely some demonstration by unilateralists on how exactly the US can win.. neither of these two options appear credible or available presently

what event could change the political landscape and create more room for geo-political maneuver?

I would be more comfortable about running away if those advocating it would demonstrate some insight in what happens next in the way of mitigation.

Boris
London

I completely agree, it is what it is. I thought I saw a different spin, but you have explained it well. What it is, is what we must deal with not why.
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:41 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by Thorgrim View Post
The Kurds have no reason to kill us because we leave them alone, neither do the Turks...

The Shia and Sunni both try to kill our soldiers or aid those who do so...thats the vast majority of Iraq...
And can you blame them? We invaded their country.....
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:44 PM   #24
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Originally Posted by KatKanPlay View Post
And can you blame them? We invaded their country.....
Wouldn't that be funny if China invaded our country to "free" us? At this point, would we have room to be all mad?
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:44 PM   #25
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
The bad guys....the bad guys are the insurgents right? The citizens of Iraq who do not want us there. So, they become good guys when they want us there? And we make them want us there, by being there?

Oh..wait, are you going to tell me now, that the terrorists are the bad guys? The one's that were not there 4 years ago, but now that we are there, they are there. And if we leave, what? What will happen? The terrorists want to fight us right? So, what, do you think they are going to follow us to America? Do you think that a terrorist cell is going to take over Iraq? Why would they want to take over Iraq? They aren't political groups, they are religious groups, and taking over countries isn't really what they are into, isn't that what WE do? Take over a country, topple the leader, and then replace with someone who we like?

It's time to realize this was a BAD BAD idea, POORLY Planned, and it's time to just GO>


Doesnt this kind of make us the bad guys?.
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:55 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by mididoctors View Post
perhaps its time to realize it was a REALLY REALLY REALLY BAD BAD BAD BAD idea, AWFULLY planned and doesn't have a easy option of just "going"

thats how appallingly reckless the whole endeavor is/was... once you invade other countries and lose on all levels including morally(perception) the rout that follows leads all the way to your front door... what advantage is there is basing your security on some arrangement with the US if it can not committ to the most vital region on earth

where exactly do we retreat and go too?

back to saudi arabia?

kuwait?

... relie on NATO to somehow bolster everything up from a kurdish enclave, i think not?... what exactly happens after the US goes...?

its not just what happens in Iraq..

perhaps a global perception of a US defeat would not be such a bad thing and going is the best option?

Boris
london
We broke We own. Then why havent we flooded the damn country with our presence with full support and backup. The fact that we made the mess, means we need to clean it up. So if all you say is true, we need to do a complete takeover and get it on its feet?
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:59 PM   #27
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
The people you are pointing out, are the people we initially went there to "Free". Think about that.
They are free. They had the freedom to vote for the first time in decades. They have the freedom to travel outside the country without government permission. But, people who used to be controlled by the "if you cross us we'll kill you AND your family" government that was there have now decided they are free enough now to kill as they please. Horrible situation.
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 06:00 PM   #28
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
Wouldn't that be funny if China invaded our country to "free" us? At this point, would we have room to be all mad?
Yeah, that compares
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 06:07 PM   #29
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
In a situation like that, sometimes all you can do it close the curtain, and wipe the egg and hope no one throws a tomato.
So its another risk?

essentially you are relying on luck to get you out?

would you agree there must be things you could do to maximize your chances of getting out with out picking up serious blow-back?

the old exit strategy thing... I presently see no opportunity to get out.. moreover the exit strategy doctrine is based on the premise you have your exit planned as you go in.. like Gulf 91

the problem here is we can see that there was no exit strategy at all as the war resulted in US commitment to bases in Saudi (as opposed to going to baghdad in 91 as wolfowitz wanted) and we all can see this lead on the road to where we are today (including 911)

every US intervention in the region overt or soft has lead to a deepening commitment to the gulf over time.. this stretches back to the end of WW2

in a very real sense US intervention at this level was almost inevitable following the logic of US policy in the region

the control of shipping movements in the gulf and the following on control of oil distribution has parallels to Rockerfellers aquisition of oil distribution of US oil in the 19th century...

to guarantee the flow of oil did not necessitate the overt ownership of the ground it was in...

but things change and the oil and Gas is set to move overland to the eurasia supercontinent rather than by seas to the americas and the east

money.. economic efficiency will dictate that the energy is more efficiently consumed nearer the source than transported to a limited market rather than invested in agrowth market in India and china... globalisation and capitalisation will favour a move of economic power away from the US by virtue of geography... it makes no sense to ship the energy to the US from a profit POV

the USA's great strength of being safe on its continental fortress isolated from the ravages of instability the rest of the world is prone too has become a liability as the "prize" is the eurasian landmass and the USA is always one or more oceans away

its this basic geo political reality that is at stake in Iraq... and is the basis of US problems in gaining support in the region as US power is dependent on stalling economic development on the eurasian landmass by keeping the energy on the shipping lanes rather than moving overland into the interior of the continents of europe and asia

this is the long game

a US withdrawal signals what exactly in such a situation?

if US does "go" it must cede power to others.. intentionally or not

its not the case you must hope someone may throw a tomato... its more the case everyone will start throwing tomatoes through a lack of choice to do anything else...

there simply will be NO game in town and players will vie to create the new status quo..


could be a good thing... perhaps not.. certainly something to consider

Boris
london

Last edited by mididoctors; 10-08-2006 at 06:31 PM.
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 06:28 PM   #30
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Originally Posted by KatKanPlay View Post
We broke We own. Then why havent we flooded the damn country with our presence with full support and backup. The fact that we made the mess, means we need to clean it up. So if all you say is true, we need to do a complete takeover and get it on its feet?
well in a way yes..

but i do not see the political or the competence...

this goes back to Rumsfelds lack of troop debacle..and frankly even if they had the 400-500,000 troops suggested by many i still doubt iraq would have worked

the main problem was that there can be NO plan B because intentional consensus was smashed at the UN by PNAC/bush inner circle et al in 2002


so We are on your own as it were... and in denial about the Mess Rumsfeld and Cheney have got us into..

The US population does not wish to commit to the draft.. especially in light of the fact arguments about US action in Iraq are stupidly simplified and offer the US VOTER no understanding of the stakes involved..

WMD and all that crap was a good simple option the average joe could go with but when you need to educate the population these more wider issues are hard to communicate with out portraying the US as a oil grabbing bully and the cause of of a lot of the worlds problems... you get bogged down in quality vs quanity arguments.. democracy in the US needs defending ..the rise of china is a threat to global freedom...etc

your into very complex and difficult to frame arguments


"we need to draft 1/2 a million young men to fight in Iraq so as stop Chinese hegemony on the eurasian land mass and defend freedom"


sort of a bit of a shift in thinking and message compared to war on terror

very messy.... and frankly incendary.. how would you campaign with such a argument and not precipitate a rapid stand off with china directly...

"the reason we are killing in Iraq is to attack chinese/russian/iranian/indian interests"

can it be justified? one might say the US is the best nation to control the earths resources rather than china and its oppressive regime?

I am not sure i know the answer to that.

Boris
London
 
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Old 10-08-2006, 11:24 PM   #31
One American Family at a Time.
 
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Originally Posted by Stylerod View Post
They are free. They had the freedom to vote for the first time in decades. They have the freedom to travel outside the country without government permission. But, people who used to be controlled by the "if you cross us we'll kill you AND your family" government that was there have now decided they are free enough now to kill as they please. Horrible situation.

Yeah, they are free aren't they? And they are using their "free" voice to show us that they DO NOT WANT US THERE.

I swear we are like the dinner guest who doesn't know when to leave.

Oh, so they were in a really crap situation before because they weren't free, and now they are free, but they aren't free in the way we want them to be because they aren't throwing roses at us? So what, we stay there until they love us? This is lame. People don't work this way, we don't work this way, why do we think they would?
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 04:19 AM   #32
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
, we stay there until they love us? This is lame.
I think your right..

how do you propose the US leaves?

would it leave in one go or in stages

would it attempt to hand over security duties to the; UN.. Iraqi gov... arab league... militias?

how does it tell the various other nations with token forces in Iraq?

are there political ramifications for those countries to consider?

does it signal its intention to go before a plan is in place and argue about how a exit should be done or does it formulate a exit plan and then sell it?

the reckless stupidity of SIMPLY going in...is there a parallel with the idea of SIMPLY going out?


no body seems to really address any of the real problems be stay or go...

instead everything centers round a "universe" of options limited to the US political landscape

is there anybody who can give us a sketch plan/idea of how the US would leave?

Boris
London
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 04:36 AM   #33
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Originally Posted by Thorgrim View Post

At this pace, I think this will be off the political table by 2008, by the summer of 2008 I bet you'll have a plan for getting out Iraq, making peace with the Taliban, and Republicans will look utterly defeated on security, add in a Democratic House or Senate that hasn't "taken away" any of the executive tools, and a Democratic Candidate that wants to be strong on national security, I think it looks like even McCain or Rudy would be defeated
I think this emphasizes my point

the original poster seems to extrapolate the issue to what happens in the 2008 election..

I can not believe the issue should be seen in these narrow terms

the outcome of US policy in Iraq is not limited to a red on blue debate surely?

Boris
london
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 04:57 AM   #34
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Originally Posted by mididoctors View Post
I think your right..

how do you propose the US leaves?

would it leave in one go or in stages

would it attempt to hand over security duties to the; UN.. Iraqi gov... arab league... militias?

how does it tell the various other nations with token forces in Iraq?

are there political ramifications for those countries to consider?

does it signal its intention to go before a plan is in place and argue about how a exit should be done or does it formulate a exit plan and then sell it?

the reckless stupidity of SIMPLY going in...is there a parallel with the idea of SIMPLY going out?


no body seems to really address any of the real problems be stay or go...

instead everything centers round a "universe" of options limited to the US political landscape

is there anybody who can give us a sketch plan/idea of how the US would leave?

Boris
London
I honestly don't know. I think we are screwed either way. I think if we stay, we'll piss them off more. I think if we'll go, we've still made MANY MANY enemies doing what we did and we've opened ourselves up to critisism from the world, and we've done SO much damage to that country already, that if we stay, we'll ruin their country further with more war, if we go, they'll still probably tear it up. Either way, we've lost a TON of Money and LIVES, and either way, the country and region are going to be unstable.

If we stay there, it will have to be for GENERATIONS. It will take GENERATIONS for them to not see us as occupiers, and for them to accpet that we want them to have the same opportunity to freedom on the same level of America.

My whole problem, is that I don't want my kids to pay for this mistake, moreso than their money. Because being there that long, is a commitment that Americans don't want to make on the whole. Can any one here say that they would be Ok with their kids, or grandkids, having to go to Iraq STILL, in this futile effort to win hearts and minds?

And at the same time, we have really put our country is a bad spot, because we look useless now, and we look useless if we leave.

Maybe we could throw money at them, but, dang it, we spent it all killing them.

What a shitty juxtaposition.
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 05:04 AM   #35
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
I honestly don't know. I think we are screwed either way. I think if we stay, we'll piss them off more. I think if we'll go, we've still made MANY MANY enemies doing what we did and we've opened ourselves up to critisism from the world, and we've done SO much damage to that country already, that if we stay, we'll ruin their country further with more war, if we go, they'll still probably tear it up. Either way, we've lost a TON of Money and LIVES, and either way, the country and region are going to be unstable.

If we stay there, it will have to be for GENERATIONS. It will take GENERATIONS for them to not see us as occupiers, and for them to accpet that we want them to have the same opportunity to freedom on the same level of America.

My whole problem, is that I don't want my kids to pay for this mistake, moreso than their money. Because being there that long, is a commitment that Americans don't want to make on the whole. Can any one here say that they would be Ok with their kids, or grandkids, having to go to Iraq STILL, in this futile effort to win hearts and minds?

And at the same time, we have really put our country is a bad spot, because we look useless now, and we look useless if we leave.

Maybe we could throw money at them, but, dang it, we spent it all killing them.

What a shitty juxtaposition.
I don't find that to be a credible option or answer...

essentially you are saying "i don't know"

well if we do not know?

meanwhile in the east



a signal the US strategic hubris is collapsing does not bode well for stability elsewhere in the world

IMO

Boris
London
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 05:25 AM   #36
One American Family at a Time.
 
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Originally Posted by mididoctors View Post
I don't find that to be a credible option or answer...

essentially you are saying "i don't know"

well if we do not know?

meanwhile in the east



a signal the US strategic hubris is collapsing does not bode well for stability elsewhere in the world

IMO

Boris
London

I am not in a position to give a credible answer for how we get out of this. But it's something most of us have finally come to grips with (even though some people, myself included, protested this for this reason.) this was never something we could win, especially when the reason we go keeps changing.

But, let me say this, people saying this, isn't what is making elsewhere in the world unstable. It's not the people saying it, it is the actual DOING IT that is doing that. Some will say dissent with Iraq, and the cut and run issue, all the talk makes other countries bolder. And that's not true. They see what we did. They see how we did it. And now they have enough money to say something about it, instead of hiding in the shadows because we were a bully country. Now, just like kids on a school yard, we lost to a whimpier country than we, and everyone in school has witnessed it.

If there was an answer, I'm sure this Administration would have found it, because this makes them look so incredibley incompetent (which they are, and many have warned about this) it is not good for re-election, which is what these politicians need to keep getting their back door deals, and their kick backs from the companies that profit from war. They tried to sell it to the American public, and now most of us want a return on a product we never wanted sold to us. Even if we were ALL gung ho about this war, and wanting to stay, it doesn't change the image problem this just gave us.
 
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Old 10-09-2006, 06:14 AM   #37
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Originally Posted by IminWonderland View Post
I am not in a position to give a credible answer for how we get out of this. But it's something most of us have finally come to grips with (even though some people, myself included, protested this for this reason.) this was never something we could win, especially when the reason we go keeps changing.
yes the ability to stay on message is lacking primarily because the original reason was a pack of lies


But, let me say this, people saying this, isn't what is making elsewhere in the world unstable. It's not the people saying it, it is the actual DOING IT that is doing that. Some will say dissent with Iraq, and the cut and run issue, all the talk makes other countries bolder. And that's not true. They see what we did. They see how we did it. And now they have enough money to say something about it, instead of hiding in the shadows because we were a bully country. Now, just like kids on a school yard, we lost to a whimpier country than we, and everyone in school has witnessed it.
that does seem to be the case... but remember its not just the case of "enemies" becoming bolder as much as other states needing to review "where they stand"... do they look to some regional super power (Iran?) for security cover?

is that a bad thing?


If there was an answer, I'm sure this Administration would have found it, because this makes them look so incredibley incompetent (which they are, and many have warned about this) it is not good for re-election, which is what these politicians need to keep getting their back door deals, and their kick backs from the companies that profit from war. They tried to sell it to the American public, and now most of us want a return on a product we never wanted sold to us. Even if we were ALL gung ho about this war, and wanting to stay, it doesn't change the image problem this just gave us.
the administrations main problem is that it can not re-engage with the intentional community as a equal partner because it launched this debacle against the common consensus....

the main value of a red on blue argument in this context is that a replacement of the US admin (red or blue) would perhaps create space for the US to re engage with a broader group of nations and create some collective security "umbrella"

however a defeated US creates all sorts of difficulties...

what your saying is the US is already defeated in the sense I mean?

if that is the case what can we do about it....?

Boris
London
 
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