Post NKorea polling by prestigious nonpartisan firm shows Democratic Landslide

[Thorgrim]

http://www.constituentdynamics.com/m...acesummary.pdf

If the election were today, the Democrats would pick up at least 28 seats (27 + TX22) and are tied or mixed in several other races, leading for the possibility of a 30-40 seat pickup

BTW that basically means to win back the house in 2008 the Republicans would need to pickup 15 seats...which I kinda doubt

[motivez]

I wish this month was over already.

[Thorgrim]

NY-26: Davis (D) 56%--40% Reynolds (R)
OH-15: Kilroy (D) 53%--41% Pryce (R)
NY-24: Arcuri (D) 53%--42% Mieir (R)
OH-18: Space (D) 51%--42% Padgett (R)
PA-07: Sestak (D) 52%--44% Weldon (R)
NM-01: Madrid (D) 52%--44% Wilson (R)
NC-11: Shuler (D) 51%--43% Taylor (R)
NC-08: Kissel (D) 51%--44% Hayes (R)
PA-06: Murphy (D) 52%--46% Gerlach (R)
MN-06: Wetterling (D) 50%--45% Bachmann (R)
IN-02: Donnelly (D) 50%--46% Chocola (R)
AZ-01: Simon (D) 50%--46% Renzi (R)
OH-02: Wulsin (D) 48%--45% Schmidt (R)
FL-13: Jennings (D) 47%--44% Buchannan (R)
WI-08: Kagen (D) 48%--46% Gard (R)
IA-02: Loebsack (D) 48%--47% Leach (R)
KY-03: Yarmuth (D) 48%--48% Northup (R)
IL-06: Duckworth (D) 47%--47% Roskam (R)

That's 17, plus several old ones, strongest of which being TX22, AR08, C007 and FL16...which are the only 4 races Cook has as "leaning Democrat"

So 21+ just there...gets to 27 if you use averages...and it gets to 35 if you use trends

35 fucking seats...and its leaving out 7 seats that are only "leaning" according to cook...

So now we are looking at 42+ seat pickup

Then we include all the "non-solid seats" and we hit 50

50+ fucking seat possibility

[Thorgrim]

Anyone want to comment on this...at all?