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Old 10-12-2006, 04:43 PM   #1
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America's trade deficit hit an all-time high in August

How about someone who's more into economics put this into perspective for the rest of us:

BREITBART.COM - Oil Drives Trade Deficit to New High

Oil Drives Trade Deficit to New High
America's trade deficit hit an all-time high as record imports of oil swamped a solid gain in U.S. exports. The politically sensitive deficit with China set a record, a point that Democrats are sure to use in attacking President Bush's trade policies in the closing weeks of the battle for Congress.

The deficit rose to $69.9 billion in August, up 2.7 percent from July's $68 billion deficit, which had also been a record. The sharp deterioration in the deficit in recent months has occurred because soaring global oil prices have pushed America's foreign oil bill to historic highs.

Analysts believe the deficit will begin to show improvements in coming months, reflecting the fact that oil prices, which had surged to $77 per barrel in July, have fallen by about 25 percent since that time.

In a second report, the number of newly laid off workers filing for unemployment benefits rose by 4,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted total of 308,000.

The widening trade gap occurred even though U.S. exports of goods and services set a record, rising by 2.3 percent to $122.4 billion. This increase, however, was offset by a 2.4 percent rise in imports, which also set a record at $192.3 billion.

The trade deficit is on track to set a record for a fifth consecutive year, running at an annual rate through August of $784.2 billion, 9.4 percent higher than last year's $716.7 billion record.

Democrats, campaigning to wrest control of Congress from the Republicans, contend that the string of record deficits documents failures of Bush administration trade policies that they contend have not addressed unfair trade practices by other nations, particularly China.

The deficit with China shot up by 12.2 percent to a record of $22 billion in August and is running 13.5 percent above last year, when it hit $202 billion, the highest ever recorded with a single country.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the former head of Goldman Sachs, has made negotiations with China over its currency system and other trade policies a top priority. But it remains to be seen whether his efforts will produce any better results than his predecessors.

American manufacturers contend that China is keeping its currency artificially low against the dollar by as much as 40 percent in order to make Chinese goods cheaper in the United States and American products more expensive in China.

Paulson has argued that China should move more quickly to allow its currency's value to be set by markets but Chinese officials say they are concerned about what such volatility would do to the country's banking system.

For August, the $2.7 billion rise in exports reflected record sales of American farm products and U.S. consumer goods including artwork and antiques.

The $4.6 billion increase in imports was led by a $1.1 billion increase in oil imports, which hit a record high of $29.7 billion. That reflected an increased volume of oil shipments and a record average price of $66.12 per barrel of imported crude, topping the previous record of $64.84 per barrel set in July.

Analysts believe that with spot oil prices falling below $60 per barrel, down from a record of $77 set in July, the oil bill will start to fall, helping to narrow the trade deficit in coming months.

Imports of food products set a record of $6.5 billion in August, topping record U.S. exports of food, which climbed to $6.1 billion.

The U.S. trade deficit with Mexico jumped 22.2 percent to a record of $6.2 billion last month while the deficit with Canada, the other partner in the North American Free Trade Area, rose by 2.5 percent to $6.1 billion.

The deficit with the European Union fell by 17.5 percent to $11 billion while the deficit with Japan dropped 1.3 percent to $7.5 billion.
So, we have this huge trade deficit that continues to get bigger and bigger and reach record numbers, along with the national debt that continues to get bigger and bigger.. and then we have the federal deficit that is apparently "less bad than expected", though touted as "good".

Anyone? Bueller?
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 04:56 PM   #2
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America's trade deficit hit an all-time high as record imports of oil swamped a solid gain in U.S. exports.
Seems if we could rely less on foreign oil we would be in a lot better shape.
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 05:24 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by Stylerod View Post
Seems if we could rely less on foreign oil we would be in a lot better shape.
We would be doing a lot better...also as I've said over and over people make too big a deal out of the trade deficit. It's obviously having a drastic affect on our economy, I mean shit we're only at full employment with umeployment hovering in the mid 4%...college graduates are having some of their best years ever for new jobs but obviously this trade deficit is crushing...

The deficit is now down to 3% which is viewed as easily sustainable by most economist. I still hate it but its within the realm of safety now and continuing to drop. So I dont really care much about the trade deficit. With oil at 70/bbl as it was in august about 22 billion of that was oil. Thats pretty significant.
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 08:42 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by motivez View Post
So, we have this huge trade deficit that continues to get bigger and bigger and reach record numbers, along with the national debt that continues to get bigger and bigger.. and then we have the federal deficit that is apparently "less bad than expected", though touted as "good".

Anyone? Bueller?
Trade deficit is not a bad thing.
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 09:51 PM   #5
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Simple explanation: We had to shell out alot more money for foreign oil and this was a bigger expence than gains in other import/export areas.

As for our debt the current deficit is at a four year low at 247.7 Billion (fiscal 2006) largely because of a surge in tax receipts. There is your revenue growth again after the tax cuts!
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 10:21 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by 6SpeedTA95 View Post
college graduates are having some of their best years ever for new jobs
do you know this from experience? my wife is sure having a tough time finding a job, going on 2 months now.
 
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Old 10-12-2006, 11:59 PM   #7
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we need to make China change its currency, but a trade deficit is not a bad thing
 
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Old 10-13-2006, 10:35 AM   #8
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Originally Posted by SICKGUY View Post
do you know this from experience? my wife is sure having a tough time finding a job, going on 2 months now.
I know this from experience, from the GOBS of data and articles being written about it. Kiplingers, Fortune, Money the WSJ have all had articles over the last few months talking about it.
 
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Old 10-13-2006, 12:19 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by SICKGUY View Post
do you know this from experience? my wife is sure having a tough time finding a job, going on 2 months now.
it's all local

Ohio has a terrible job market and the highest unemployment in the nation at like 7% or something
 
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