Originally Posted by HughRuss A. Gore != Climatologist. Quit making a strawman of the argument by thinking everything Gore espouses is what the debate (between AGW and non-AGW) really concerns. B: This graph does not at all apply to what you are saying. Quit making nonsensical strawman statements and don't ...
| | #121 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
| Originally Posted by HughRuss
It applied to your statements to me in your reply to my 1st post, or don't you know what you are saying? | ||||
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| | #122 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Forthgoing Mimicry is the highest form of flattery, but hardly applicable here.
Originally Posted by Forthgoing
Clearly you are mistaking what I'm saying. Flashing graphs without commentary isn't an argument. I can deduce what you are implying, but I'd rather you spell it out so I don't assume too much. So, why don't you actually post an argument, and not hackneyed platitudes?
__________________ History is a nightmare from which I'm trying to awake. --Stephen Dedalus (by way of Joyce) | ||||
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| | #123 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
| Originally Posted by HughRuss
Clearly you didn't click on the link below it and read the article that went with it or the 2nd article that is on topic with this thread. I deduce that you like to imply, spell out and assume a lot of nonsense. So why don't you quit making asinine arguments and full of shit platitudes. | ||||
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| | #124 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Forthgoing And yet it's still nearly a word-for-word reformulation.
Originally Posted by Forthgoing No, see, if you want to post, it is commonly assumed you have an argument. Linking to outside websites as your persuasive arsenal does not fly.
You are making a strong case for just how much I should consider your responses logically valid. If you're only arguing out of political ideology, as it is quite clear you are, I recommend you stop replying. | ||||
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| | #125 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
| Originally Posted by HughRuss No it's me outmatching you.
I'll post whatever I please, it's now going to be easily assumed by me that your arguments are mostly nonsense. Linking to outside website articles has been done in this thread several times, even by you and it is commonly done on all forums so you criticizing me for doing so is just more shit from you. I've been hitting you with my arsenal quite well, so why don't you fly away so you won't be hurt anymore. You should now quit making such statements while you're behind and concede. | ||||
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| | #126 | ||||
| Evil Political Genius The Lab Moderator Humanist Chicago Suburbs ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Ballz? Is that you? This troll has a familiar scent. | ||||
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| | #127 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Well, consider that he isn't making an argument, and has resorted to oneupsmanship. Also, should I be surprised you know what balls smell like? Last edited by HughRuss; 12-05-2009 at 11:56 PM.. | ||||
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| | #128 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Forthgoing Again, missing the point. Posting a graph and adding nothing but a link isn't a valid post. If you do not possess the capability to form an argument based on the graph, rather allowing a website's author to do your critical thinking (something I should say is quite common with your ilk), you have no business discussing the validity of scientific data.
You have made it abundantly clear that you have nothing to add to the discussion besides talking points and unassisted pictures, so continuing with the flat retorts will be a fruitless endeavor. Might I suggest you take up a hobby? Something that would suit you better than posting here, like coloring outside the lines, showing you know how to think outside the liberal bias. | ||||
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| | #129 | ||||
| Science is the poetry of reality. Humanist Virginia ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Stylerod And? No one should take science from a politician and expect to have an objective consensus rather than an opinion. If you are a layperson, get the science from committees (e.g., the National Research Council or the IPCC) that specifically assemble and pour over thousands of varying papers from dozens of fields of study in order to assemble a scientific consensus. They often cite conflicting reports and tell you how they conflict, and which conclusion the committee reached and why. Or you can open up a textbook (oh, the horror!).
Originally Posted by Stylerod HughRuss did a good analysis. However, this paper is nothing new. I've read papers a while ago that concluded it was a localized variability. From what I gathered from the abstract, this paper looked at local climate variability in insolation from the past 25,000 years. Of course you would find a strong correlation with insolation over that period (who has argued otherwise?). This is in congruence with mainstream scientific opinion.
Mote (atmospheric scientist) and Kaser (glaciologist) published a paper that suggested that tropical glaciers, which are at high elevations, are controlled more by precipitation than by air temperatures. Originally Posted by Geotimes Geotimes - August 2007
Originally Posted by Stylerod First off all, I don't take any of what a scientist says as "truth" (what does that really even mean, "truth"?). No, most unlike a religion, you accept or reject conclusions that scientists reach based on evidence. Of course there are conflicting studies, but that is why peer review is a necessary but not a sufficient part of science. No, no one should base their scientific arguments on an appeal to authority for the singular reason that there are no authorities in science, only experts.
Originally Posted by Stylerod Why do you keep chanting this without having ever backed it up? Oh of course, you don't need evidence.
No data were hid; over 95% of data have been available, and the rest are currently under contract (capitalism at work). Data can be requested from the NMSs, as I have said. However, some have a policy to only license raw data to third parties unless they are used for research purposes (yes, they want to make money). Of course, the scientific community has long argued that all data should be open and free, but sadly that isn't the socialist paradise we live in. ![]() All raw data are available from the NMSs where they originated. Do you really think that a national meteorological service will hand their only copies of weather station data to a university in Norwich, England? Data sets (notice the difference between data sets and raw data) used for CRU and HadCRU models have been freely available for some time. The only thing you have to go on is a small percentage of raw data was tossed out in the 1980s, for reasons explained. The CRU has never been a primary custodian of raw data (that's the job of the NMSs). Making FOI requests on that basis is frivolous, as explained in this email. Where is the evidence that data have been changed? That one, I would liked explained. It seems that I have to come back to the same points that were refuted when this news broke off. Do you not understand the difference between changing proxy temperature data to suit one's agenda, and putting the actual instrumental temperatures on a graph next to the reconstructions and then openly explaining what you did, including the divergence of tree ring proxy data, in your research? That's some devious plan to change data, then openly explain what you did, and give the entire proxy series and the instrumental temperatures as a comparison... those bastards! It should be noted that different methods and proxies have been used for years now; we are talking about research and emails from 1998-1999. As you can see, the divergence problem in the tree ring proxies was openly discussed in Briffa et al. (1998): Originally Posted by Briffa et al. So they sent emails to conspire to hide this apparent decline in proxy temps, but also openly talked about it in a peer-reviewed paper. What a conspiracy to fudge data!
Originally Posted by Stylerod It isn't pompous to state blatant realities. When you go through the arguments against global warming, you typically find that they are either due to ignorance or ideology. There's nothing wrong with being ignorant of a topic if one openly admits it and seeks to rectify that fact.
I really don't see anyone actively trying to scare people. Scientists do their jobs and state what they think the reality is, and if that scares you, then too bad. "For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring." - Carl Sagan Last edited by Schrödinger's Cat; 12-06-2009 at 06:22 AM.. | ||||
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| | #130 | ||||
| Science is the poetry of reality. Humanist Virginia ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Forthgoing This has been talked about and discussed in the scientific literature. It is widely accepted that CO2 is driving the current climate. This conclusion has been tested and confirmed by a variety of different methods. Evidence shows that as temperature and CO2 have gone up, solar activity and TSI have dropped off since the 1970s (link). If this had not been the case, we would be in even worse shape. Studies done about the Phanerozoic show how dramatic CO2 can change temperatures on the planet (link). You can do the math yourself to calculate the contributions of the radiative forcings.
Water vapor isn't a long-lived greenhouse gas (it lasts about 10 days), 99.99% of it is concentrated in the troposphere, and the amount of it is completely dependent on temperature. The last fact is the reason why scientists don't refer to water vapor as a climate driver, but instead a feedback. Without even knowing it, you have just made an argument as to why the climate is so sensitive to changes in CO2 (or insolation). The fact is that humans emit to 29Gt of CO2 per year, which in turn contributes to the annual accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere by 15Gt per year. The natural carbon sinks in the environment can only take in so much of the CO2 that we contribute; this is what is perturbing the balance and causing recent increases to global temperature. Last edited by Schrödinger's Cat; 12-06-2009 at 03:19 AM.. | ||||
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| | #131 | ||||
| Formerly known as Swift-Bass Conservative Baltimore, MD ![]()
| Originally Posted by Schrödinger's Cat So how much does the average violent volcanic eruption emit?
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| | #132 | ||||
| Science is the poetry of reality. Humanist Virginia ![]() ![]()
| Volcanic activity contributes approximately 0.3GT of CO2 per year (2005). Mega-eruptions, however, can have a cooling effect on the climate due to the albedo feedback. Source: British Geological Survey | ||||
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| | #133 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
| Originally Posted by HughRuss There you go again Hughie showing what a full of shit snob you are.
My new hobby will be to oppose and pick on you. | ||||
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| | #134 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
| Originally Posted by Schrödinger's Cat And none of what you stated proves that mankind has much of a effect on global warming or cooling. You don't actually believe the sun has no major effect on this planet and that natural earth cycles have no effects on our planet?
The graph --- Mankind O.28% effect. Are you for world population control?
Last edited by Forthgoing; 12-06-2009 at 11:28 AM.. | ||||
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| | #135 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
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| | #136 | ||||
| ἀλήθεια Humanist while (1) ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Forthgoing Are you trolling for fun, or are you this ghastly illiterate?
Again, do you intend on making an argument based on this stat? Or are you going rely on shock-effect to do it for you? Non-sequitur. | ||||
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| | #137 | ||||
| Braccae tuae aperiuntur. Reform Party ![]() ![]() ![]()
| The Met Office is now saying the credibility of climate change theory is questionable and they will spend 3 years going over data to come to further determinations.
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| | #138 | ||||
| Science is the poetry of reality. Humanist Virginia ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by JaJae That's funny; it doesn't seem like John Mitchell, head of climate science at the Met Office, is "second guessing" or saying "the credibility of climate change theory is questionable".
BBC News - UN hits back at climate sceptics amid e-mails row
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| | #139 | ||||
| Noob Conservative ![]()
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| | #140 | ||||
| Braccae tuae aperiuntur. Reform Party ![]() ![]() ![]()
| Originally Posted by Schrödinger's Cat Of course individual climate scientists are going to protect their professions. That's abundantly clear. I wouldn't expect anything else from them.
What I said was the Met is second guessing. Last week it was their official position to support AGW based on their data. This week it is their official decision to spend the next few years going back over their data to make sure it isn't flawed. This is a direct result of "Climategate" and public awareness. I'm sure the checking of the data will be just as political as everything else in climate science and will be framed in such a way as to protect their jobs, but they are allowing for the chance that their data could be compromised or incorrect. Last month they would have said their data and science stands for itself. This week they are saying they gotta back the train up and verify their shit. That's a huge change that shows the Met has been impacted by "Climategate." They have to publicly second-guess themselves in order to keep their credibility. What this shows is that a huge wrench was thrown into the debate. | ||||
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