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Old 11-02-2006, 01:47 PM   #1
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Big polling news for Nov 1st from Rasmussen:

New Jersey: In a Wednesday night survey, Senator Robert Menendez (D) leads challenger Tom Kean, Jr. (R) 48% to 43%. Data and Article Coming Later. Among those not committed to either candidate, just 4% are Republicans and 28% are Democrats. When this information is released to the public, the race will be shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Democrat in our Senate Balance of Power summary.

Montana: Also from Wednesday night... Democrat Jon Tester leads Senator Conrad Burns, 50% to 46%. Data and Article Coming Later.

^^^ Normally this would go in my Senate thread, but its so close to the election and basically this is huge that

1) as you can see by the numbers, Menendez not only has a 5pt lead but its those Democrats who are undecided, and from Corzine we can see where they break...this race is over unless menendez gets another investigation!

2) Tester has stopped any Burns momentum, he has a 50% commanding position and 4pt lead...who do you think those 4% are going to break for? This is after the Kerry situation so I really don't see anyone watching political ads this weekend making up their minds...so unless there is some huge event Monday, I'd call this race for Tester
 
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Old 11-02-2006, 03:25 PM   #2
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There was some information posted sowing that Tester is winning huge in early voting:

As President Bush lands in Montana to plead for support for Sen. Conrad Burns, a new poll released Thursday shows challenger Jon Tester with a commanding 21% lead among early voters.

The poll, conducted by Lake Snell Perry Mermin this week, shows Tester leading Burns 58% to 37% among Montanans who have already voted. According to the Montana Secretary of State's office, 56,453 Montanans have cast early ballots as of this morning.
 
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Old 11-02-2006, 03:41 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by motivez View Post
There was some information posted sowing that Tester is winning huge in early voting:
one good thing about this election is that there are no electronic voting...so no side can whine about "diebold!!!"

that being said, that news coupled with this seems to make it awful hard for Tester to lose
 
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Old 11-03-2006, 02:11 AM   #4
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After '04, polls don't really matter much to me anymore.
 
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