Even New York Times admits to Republican Upswing!

[RMNIXON]

Bush Trumpets Iraq Verdict to Rally Support - New York Times

The announcement out of Baghdad came as polls suggested some gains for Republicans. A Pew Research Center Survey released on Sunday found that the number of likely voters who said they would vote for the Democrats was now 47 percent compared with 43 percent who said they would vote for Republicans. Two weeks ago, Democrats had an edge of 50 to 39. A Washington Post-ABC News poll found a similar tightening.

These kinds of polls, about the so-called generic ballot, measure national trends and do not necessarily provide an accurate measure of what is happening in individual House and Senate races. Andrew Kohut, the president of the Pew Center, said the poll nonetheless found that Republicans were becoming more enthusiastic as Election Day approached, a sign that the party was making progress in addressing one of its main problems this year: a dispirited base.

With at least 20 House races and 3 Senate races virtually tied in polls over the past week, Republican officials have looked to the huge voter turnout operation the party has developed over the past six years as its last-stand defense to prevent Democrats from making big gains on Tuesday.

__________________________________________________ ______________

It just gets hotter and hotter these days. Thanks John Kerry for that motivation of the GOP base!

And look at that stock market today!


Up, Up, Up with the GOP gains in the polls!

[Thorgrim]

Look at 1994, the Dems got a generic bump the last week, one even had them AHEAD in the generic ballot...

There are 6 polls, one has about 6pt+ average, the other 15+ average...either way, that is A LOT better than how the GOP was running in 1994

But again bottom line: The same thing happened in 1994, the opponents party "comes home" at least on the phone

[RMNIXON]

Relax Thorgrim, I am still cautiously optimistic. If I were to put down real money:

Dems 3-4 Senate Seats, 12-20 House Seats. Majority still probable.

And Foley's seat might even stay REPUBLICAN!

Long Night!

[Thorgrim]

Originally Posted by RMNIXON

Relax Thorgrim, I am still cautiously optimistic. If I were to put down real money:

Dems 3-4 Senate Seats, 12-20 House Seats. Majority still probable.

And Foley's seat might even stay REPUBLICAN!

Long Night!

12 house seats? give me a break

[WickedLou9]

yeah they showed the lead that the dems had narrowing, but the lead is still there. I still stand by my prediction that they will take the house but not the senate.

[SICKGUY]

too little, too late

[RMNIXON]

Originally Posted by Thorgrim

12 house seats? give me a break

Novak gives em 19.

I wrote between 12 and 20. That gives them a better than even chance at a majority. But I will not concede that until after the election.

[Diamond Cross]

I think it's wise to just wait until the election because this prediction stuff is just propoganda and nothing more.

[Thorgrim]

Originally Posted by RMNIXON

Novak gives em 19.

I wrote between 12 and 20. That gives them a better than even chance at a majority. But I will not concede that until after the election.

Here are seats that are GONE, there is NO CHANCE of you keeping:

AZ-08
NY-24
CO-07
IN-08
OH-18
PA-10
IA-01
PA-07
TX-22

You guys would have to win 40 out of the other 44 tossups, many of which lean STRONGLY democratic, and currently have democrats with sizeable leads

That's fucking impossible...12 seats is IMPOSSIBLE

[hsmith]

We paid for the trial

shocked that it came out days before teh election and with the results we wnated

[sj23]

Originally Posted by hsmith

We paid for the trial

shocked that it came out days before teh election and with the results we wnated

Iraqi courts are so busy that there's no time for postponements.

[Diamond Cross]

And in 1994 regardless of what leads the Democrats had, the Republicans took the majority by 54 seats.